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Monday, September 26, 2016

The So-Called Debate: What Not to Do

If I were a swami (and I'm not) here is what I would tell me "client."

Don't panic.  Be calm.  Be somewhat detached.  Be sanguine.

And don't depend on pundits!  

The article from Princeton Election Consortium gives reasons why.

(More later.)

Don't Rely on Pundits: Princeton Election Consortium

1 comment:

  1. The following back-and-forth excerpt from the Princeton Election site may be useful.

    The "take-away" here for me is the word about what supporters of Third Party candidates will do. It is at the point where anyone who is terrified of a Trump Presidency should make a decision toward the best candidate who has a true chance of defeating him. As of now and for the foreseeable future there is truly only one candidate who meets this qualification: Hillary Clinton.

    Larry Guy // Sep 26, 2016 at 10:35 am

    Just one word of caution regarding reliance on “regression to the mean”: it’s not clear that in a low poll volatility environment (v stable averages) regression to the mean is as strong a force as usual. Slow, inexorable drift may not self-correct.

    Sam Wang // Sep 26, 2016 at 10:41 am

    Could be. I appreciate the quant perspective. To me this translates (among other things) to the question of what supporters of minor-party candidates will do.


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