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Wednesday, December 14, 2016

Just Thinking

Why do ever so many journalists, pundits, and activists persist in using words such as "likely/unlikely," "probable/improbable," as well as "odds," and "chances"?   An example:  It is very unlikely, such as such will happen.

I have checked the dictionary definition of "likely."   It leads to "probable," which itself leads to other words such as "speculation."   Thus, saying something is "likely," is akin to merely speculating.  Of course, speculations do often turn out to be correct.  But often they are not correct as in "It is very unlikely Donald Trump will be nominated by the Republican Party."  

What we need is a little less speculation, and a little more action.  

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