Princeton's Sam Wang does a very good job of analyzing current polling. The only major question is whether he is dealing with polling of all registered voters or only likely voters, the latter being the better choice now.
Otherwise, he is very astute and careful. The current projection for Election Day puts Democratic control of the Senate at 70%. Other polls are actually close in their predictions, but due partly to the closeness of the race, several such as New York Times and Washington Post, have a probability of Republican control.
It is all very interesting, and Wang has more details on his Princeton Election Consortium site. (See right column below, here, for more information.)
Sam Wang's Latest New Yorker article
Otherwise, he is very astute and careful. The current projection for Election Day puts Democratic control of the Senate at 70%. Other polls are actually close in their predictions, but due partly to the closeness of the race, several such as New York Times and Washington Post, have a probability of Republican control.
It is all very interesting, and Wang has more details on his Princeton Election Consortium site. (See right column below, here, for more information.)
Sam Wang's Latest New Yorker article
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