Today I begin some serious blogging of the up-coming elections in the U.S.
You may have seen the scary headline at the 538 web site, stating there is a "60% chance" of a Republican take-over of the Senate this fall. When I read that I was angry, in no small measure because it didn't make sense. Five months out and we are putting a percentage chance like that on the entire race? Of course there were details given. However, Sam Wang of Princeton slices and dices the numbers leaving the Nate Silver salad, well, shredded. Read more at the link below.
Princeton Election Consortium Straightens Out the Numbers
N.B. I was out of state last week and unable to post here. It is good to be back! I plan to continue posting as regularly as possible.
You may have seen the scary headline at the 538 web site, stating there is a "60% chance" of a Republican take-over of the Senate this fall. When I read that I was angry, in no small measure because it didn't make sense. Five months out and we are putting a percentage chance like that on the entire race? Of course there were details given. However, Sam Wang of Princeton slices and dices the numbers leaving the Nate Silver salad, well, shredded. Read more at the link below.
Princeton Election Consortium Straightens Out the Numbers
N.B. I was out of state last week and unable to post here. It is good to be back! I plan to continue posting as regularly as possible.
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