According to an up-date a few hours ago, Sam Wang of the Princeton Election Consortium shows a significant increase in the chances for Democratic control of the Senate come next January.
Sam Wang has been very accurate in past elections. My only caution would be that his history is not long. So much can happen in politics, including people dropping out of races, candidates dying (not to be hoped for), or switching parties. This kind of unexpected activity seems to be picking up. Witness the Kansas Senate race, the Alaska governor's race, and earlier the stunning defeat of Eric Cantor in primary. At the same time, his work is based on actual polls and not admixed with incidentals (what are euphemistically called "fundamentals," really just a foundation for speculation).
The people are in electoral revolt and it is high time.
http://election.princeton.edu/
Sam Wang has been very accurate in past elections. My only caution would be that his history is not long. So much can happen in politics, including people dropping out of races, candidates dying (not to be hoped for), or switching parties. This kind of unexpected activity seems to be picking up. Witness the Kansas Senate race, the Alaska governor's race, and earlier the stunning defeat of Eric Cantor in primary. At the same time, his work is based on actual polls and not admixed with incidentals (what are euphemistically called "fundamentals," really just a foundation for speculation).
The people are in electoral revolt and it is high time.
http://election.princeton.edu/
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